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afzalmk
Asked: May 18, 20252025-05-18T16:28:46+08:00 2025-05-18T16:28:46+08:00In: Life

When will the tariff war end?

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When will the tariff war end?

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    1. Nicolas Koch
      Nicolas Koch
      2025-05-19T10:44:46+08:00Added an answer on May 19, 2025 at 10:44 am

      The US-China tariff war remains unresolved as of May 19, 2025. A **90-day tariff freeze** began on May 12, reducing rates to 10%-30%, but this is a **temporary pause** rather than a permanent resolution. Key factors prolonging the conflict include unresolved structural disputes (e.g., $297B US trade deficit in Jan 2025) and strategic mistrust over tech/industrial policies. Domestic politics, including Trump’s “America First” agenda and China’s “dual circulation” strategy, further complicate negotiations. While renewed talks are scheduled, analysts warn of potential escalation post-September 2025 if core issues like semiconductor competition and market access remain unaddressed. A lasting truce requires mutual concessions on sensitive policies, which neither side currently prioritizes. The war’s persistence hinges on balancing tactical de-escalation with entrenched strategic rivalry. 

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